Every year there are certain players who come back from an injury that everyone is talking about, but what about the sneaky high risk of injury guys that you might not think about? Inside Injuries is here to give you the inside information. We will be addressing their previous injuries which are cause for concern, how high their overall risk of injury is and how we anticipate their season. Most of them don’t fall into the high risk category, but they may not be worth the risk with their current ADP.
Here is a brief description of the terms from our injury algorithm:
IRC = Injury Risk Category (Low, Elevated, High) – the general probability that a player will be injured
HPF = Health Performance Factor (top, above average, below average, bad) – our key figure for predicting player performance
LOCATION = Optimal Recovery Time – the time it takes for a player to fully recover from an injury (not the same as the time they actually missed)
IRC: Increased (15%) – HPF: Maximum value (93%)
Mixon injured his right foot in week 6 last season. We were lined up week after week, assuming he would return, but he never did. In the end, Mixon did not have to undergo foot surgery and was considered fully recovered by March. The Bengals never disclosed his exact injury, although I suspect it was a Lisfranc sprain. These injuries are very painful and tough for a running back to play through. It also seems to take forever to get back to normal, even if it’s not considered a significant sprain.
Now Mixon has an ADP that is in the second round of design. Despite his increased risk of injury, I think he’s a solid option later in the round. A lot of the guys around him come at more risk. Mixon has tremendous advantages and is expected to carry a heavy workload on the Bengals offensive.